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Economics

University of Massachusetts Amherst

Arslan Razmi

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The Real Exchange Rate And Economic Development, Arslan Razmi Jan 2011

The Real Exchange Rate And Economic Development, Arslan Razmi

Arslan Razmi

Recent empirical studies have found a robust correlation between competitive exchange rates and economic growth in developing economies. This paper presents (i) a formal model to help explain these findings and (ii) econometric evidence on the relation between investment and the real exchange rate. The model emphasizes the existence of (hidden) unemployment as a source of endogenous growth, even under constant returns to scale. Growth promoting policies, however, affect the external balance, and two instruments are needed in order to achieve targets for both the growth rate and the trade balance. The real exchange rate can serve as one of …